{
 "name": "subsidencereport.co.uk Subsidence Report Risk and Claims",
 "title": "Subsidence Report Risk and Claims",
 "url": "https://subsidencereport.co.uk/datasets/subsidence-report-risk-and-claims/",
 "csv": "https://subsidencereport.co.uk/datasets/subsidence-report-risk-and-claims.csv",
 "markdown": "https://subsidencereport.co.uk/datasets/subsidence-report-risk-and-claims/index.md",
 "computed_at": "2026-10-28",
 "license": "https://subsidencereport.co.uk/terms",
 "headline": "The Subsidence Report Risk and Claims carries 3 published figures read from 2 sources' own pages, from 17 to 104 percent, read 12 October 2026.",
 "quotes": [
  "The Subsidence Report Risk and Claims carries 3 published figures read from 2 sources' own pages, from 17 to 104 percent, read 12 October 2026.",
  "2 of the 0 named sources read in full publish a figure; 0 publish none, read 12 October 2026.",
  "Subsidence Report Risk and Claims, measure buildings and contents average claim payout change: median 17 percent across 1 source, read 12 October 2026.",
  "Subsidence Report Risk and Claims, measure home insurance claims costs as a share of premium: median 48 percent across 1 source, read 12 October 2026.",
  "Subsidence Report Risk and Claims, measure UK rainfall as a share of average, September 2026: median 104 percent across 1 source, read 12 October 2026."
 ],
 "citation": "\"subsidencereport.co.uk Subsidence Report Risk and Claims\", updated 2026-10-28, https://subsidencereport.co.uk/datasets/subsidence-report-risk-and-claims/.",
 "changed_since": null,
 "national": {
  "unit": "%",
  "n": 3,
  "median": 48,
  "min": 17,
  "max": 104,
  "p25": 17,
  "p75": 104,
  "mean": 56.3333,
  "units": {
   "%": 3
  },
  "published_sources": 2,
  "named_sources": 12,
  "read_sources": 0,
  "not_published": 0,
  "published_share": 2
 },
 "by_axis": {
  "measure": {
   "buildings and contents average claim payout change": {
    "%": {
     "n": 1,
     "median": 17,
     "min": 17,
     "max": 17,
     "p25": 17,
     "p75": 17,
     "mean": 17
    }
   },
   "home insurance claims costs as a share of premium": {
    "%": {
     "n": 1,
     "median": 48,
     "min": 48,
     "max": 48,
     "p25": 48,
     "p75": 48,
     "mean": 48
    }
   },
   "UK rainfall as a share of average, September 2026": {
    "%": {
     "n": 1,
     "median": 104,
     "min": 104,
     "max": 104,
     "p25": 104,
     "p75": 104,
     "mean": 104
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "source": "FCA general insurance value measures data 2025",
   "url": "https://www.fca.org.uk/data/general-insurance-value-measures-data-2025",
   "figure": "17%",
   "value": 17,
   "unit": "%",
   "vat": null,
   "axis": {
    "measure": "buildings and contents average claim payout change"
   },
   "retrieved_at": "2026-10-12",
   "quote": "especially buildings and contents, where it rose by 17%.",
   "source_class": "primary-government",
   "text_sha256": "39197b5e452e8519265755e3937744fe100bc03672b15b6453491781781df2e4"
  },
  {
   "source": "FCA general insurance value measures data 2025",
   "url": "https://www.fca.org.uk/data/general-insurance-value-measures-data-2025",
   "figure": "48%",
   "value": 48,
   "unit": "%",
   "vat": null,
   "axis": {
    "measure": "home insurance claims costs as a share of premium"
   },
   "retrieved_at": "2026-10-12",
   "quote": "at 48% for home insurance, combining buildings and contents (46% in 2024).",
   "source_class": "primary-government",
   "text_sha256": "39197b5e452e8519265755e3937744fe100bc03672b15b6453491781781df2e4"
  },
  {
   "source": "Met Office - weather and climate summaries",
   "url": "https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/summaries",
   "figure": "104%",
   "value": 104,
   "unit": "%",
   "vat": null,
   "axis": {
    "measure": "UK rainfall as a share of average, September 2026"
   },
   "retrieved_at": "2026-10-12",
   "quote": "Rainfall for the UK was around average (104% of the long-term average), but as often happens there was strong regional variation.",
   "source_class": "primary-government",
   "text_sha256": "80b33ab79c5ba07cbe8ab52cb73442de2c770c197c23c433eb4bfb1b0caa90ad"
  }
 ],
 "not_published": [],
 "sources": [
  {
   "url": "https://www.bgs.ac.uk/datasets/bgs-geosure-shrink-swell/",
   "label": "BGS GeoSure: shrink-swell",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.bgs.ac.uk/datasets/bgs-geosure-shrink-swell-subsurface/",
   "label": "BGS GeoSure: shrink-swell subsurface",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.bgs.ac.uk/datasets/geoclimate-shrink-swell/",
   "label": "BGS GeoClimate shrink-swell",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.bgs.ac.uk/geology-projects/shallow-geohazards/clay-shrink-swell/",
   "label": "BGS - swelling and shrinking soils",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.bgs.ac.uk/news/six-bgs-datasets-for-assessing-shrink-swell-subsidence-hazards/",
   "label": "BGS - six datasets for assessing shrink-swell subsidence hazards",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.bgs.ac.uk/datasets/bgs-geosure-shrink-swell/shrink-swell-property-hazard-information/",
   "label": "BGS - shrink-swell property hazard information",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.data.gov.uk/dataset/44bbc251-0dd4-4678-9ca6-19e4cf288642/geosure-shrink-swell-deposits2",
   "label": "GeoSure shrink-swell deposits (data.gov.uk)",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.fca.org.uk/data/general-insurance-value-measures-data-2025",
   "label": "FCA general insurance value measures data 2025",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.fca.org.uk/data/general-insurance-value-measures-data-2024",
   "label": "FCA general insurance value measures data 2024",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/summaries",
   "label": "Met Office - weather and climate summaries",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-and-regional-series",
   "label": "Met Office - UK and regional series",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  },
  {
   "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/the-coal-authority",
   "label": "The Coal Authority",
   "license": "the publisher's own terms; quoted for reporting and comment"
  }
 ],
 "methodology": "Every row is a verbatim sentence read from the named source's own page through our fetch service on the date shown, hash-pinned to the stored read (the sha of the page's visible text; the raw page is mirrored to R2). 2 of the 0 named sources that could be read published a usable figure; 0 published none and are recorded as not published, never filled in; 12 could not be read (blocked, dead or unreachable) and count nowhere. The headline figures (median, minimum, maximum, quartiles) are over ONE figure per source for each breakdown it prices, in % (a source's median where its page yielded several accepted sentences for one breakdown), so a page that gives figures for several breakdowns gives one for each and N counts 3 figures, never sentences; 41 candidate sentence(s) were refused by a reviewer with the reason recorded. The fuller derivation this dataset is chartered to grow into (not yet what the figures above are; they are each source's own published figure as read): the BGS shrink-swell hazard class joined to the FCA's per-firm home-insurance claims frequency and average payout and to the Met Office's monthly rainfall and regional series. Across them the figures nobody publishes: hazard class by postcode district beside the claims season that follows a dry summer, the regional split of claim frequency against the regional split of shrinkable clay, and the year-on-year series that says whether a dry spring turns into a claim spike six months later - the one thing a homeowner with a new crack actually wants to know and the one thing the hazard map alone cannot tell him",
 "embed": "<figure style=\"margin:0;padding:16px;border:1px solid #d9d9d9;border-radius:8px;background:#ffffff;color:#111111;font-family:system-ui,sans-serif;max-width:480px\"><p style=\"margin:0 0 8px;font-size:28px;font-weight:700;color:#111111;background:#ffffff\">17 to 104 percent</p><p style=\"margin:0 0 8px;font-size:14px;color:#111111;background:#ffffff\">3 published figures, Subsidence Report Risk and Claims, across 2 sources, read 12 October 2026</p><figcaption style=\"font-size:12px;color:#444444;background:#ffffff\"><a href=\"https://subsidencereport.co.uk/datasets/subsidence-report-risk-and-claims/#median\" style=\"color:#1a4fd6;background:#ffffff\">Source: subsidencereport.co.uk Subsidence Report Risk and Claims</a></figcaption></figure>"
}
